The relief bill known as the CARES Act was signed into law on Friday, March 27, 2020. It is designed to serve as a bridge between the time the US economy decelerates in response to Covid-19 and the time the economy is back up and running. Provisions of the CARES Act support a wide range […]
The first change I noticed was early last week, before any state of emergency had been declared in Rhode Island, Massachusetts, or the US. Suddenly, my commute was far easier than usual. I hit every light and breezed into work. By the end of the week I had shaved 20% off my commute time. I […]
Following yesterday’s sell off we wanted to share some thoughts and facts about the economy and the market. Lost in a new cycle filled with bad news, last Friday’s payroll report was the 113th month in a row with positive job growth here in the US. (The next closest record time period is 48 months!) […]
The recent downturn in the markets has been driven predominantly by the Coronavirus and high stock valuations. Any sustained market bounce is unlikely to take place before the risks presented by Covid-19 have abated. At the same time the economic impact of the virus is undergoing extensive assessment and review. In terms of the economy, […]
We are getting a few questions from clients on the nature of the most recent stock market sell-off. We thought it would be a good opportunity to address these questions in our blog, so that all clients can hear our response. Let’s start with the surprise factor. Was this week’s dramatic two-day pullback unanticipated? Not […]
For the last few weeks, it feels like the stock market has been responding positively and negatively to every new piece of information around the coronavirus. This article is not meant to diminish the impact this disease has on human life, but rather focus on why the market seems to care so much. Why does […]
Our 2020 Market Commentary was written before the killing of Iranian Maj. Gen. Qassim Suleimani. The military action does not change our outlook but does confirm the importance of geopolitical risk in our analysis. Financial Outlook 2020 Analysts generally agree that 2020 will be a decent year for the United States economy, with a possible […]
One of the standard topics at our meetings with clients is our market outlook. Recently I have noticed that clients are more attentive than usual to what we say. I attribute this to all the noisy headlines that do more to confuse than clarify where the economy is headed. Clients are feeling they have a […]
The last time we owned a dedicated position of gold in our portfolios was early 2013. Over the last six and a half years gold prices have generally disappointed, with the exception being the last few months. However, the outlook for the commodity may continue to brighten, at least according to the research we have […]
We have been sitting tight on our portfolio asset allocation since the beginning of the trade war escalation this month. Does this mean we aren’t worried? For now, the answer is, “Yes, unless.” The outlook for US/China trade relations is unsettled. The US could be at the beginning of a long drawn out trade war, […]
