The Unpredictable Nature of Investor Psychology

October 28, 2019 9:54 am

One of the standard topics at our meetings with clients is our market outlook. Recently I have noticed that clients are more attentive than usual to what we say. I attribute this to all the noisy headlines that do more to confuse than clarify where the economy is headed.  Clients are feeling they have a […]

Has Gold’s Time Come Again?

July 9, 2019 1:55 pm

The last time we owned a dedicated position of gold in our portfolios was early 2013. Over the last six and a half years gold prices have generally disappointed, with the exception being the last few months. However, the outlook for the commodity may continue to brighten, at least according to the research we have […]

Trade War Worries

May 20, 2019 10:23 am

We have been sitting tight on our portfolio asset allocation since the beginning of the trade war escalation this month. Does this mean we aren’t worried? For now, the answer is, “Yes, unless.” The outlook for US/China trade relations is unsettled. The US could be at the beginning of a long drawn out trade war, […]

Tariffs, Explained

May 15, 2019 4:56 pm

“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it” -George Santayana, Famed philosopher and poet Last Friday President Trump announced he would hike tariffs on another $200 Billion of Chinese goods.  For months, the stock market seems to rally and then selloff based on anonymous sources talking about the progress of finding a […]

2019 Market Update

March 11, 2019 12:45 pm

We thought we would bring you up to date on our outlook for the markets. While December unnerved many investors, the first quarter of 2019 brought renewed confidence. Q1 S&P 500 performance was the best in over 20 years. What happens next? Where we are not worried: The markets dramatically oversold in December and then […]

2019 The New Year

January 4, 2019 12:02 pm

The New Year is supposed to be a fresh start. We get to begin all over again with energetic resolutions and stalwart promises, putting last year’s disappointments behind us. Investors are all for leaving behind 2018, which was a particularly rough year. Most asset classes turned in negative performance while volatility punctuated the year at […]

Market Turbulence

October 29, 2018 12:54 pm

One factor of the October rout in the stock market has been rising interest rates.  The market has concerns that the Federal Reserve could eventually overshoot (raise interest rates too high) and stifle economic growth. While an overshoot seems unlikely until sometime in 2020, investors tend to signal their displeasure early. At this point in […]

How much should I have in my 401k at age X?

August 9, 2018 12:00 am

As the calendar turns to 2014, many folks use the month of January to review their retirement balances and see how their accounts have grown. Whether it’s the cold weather that makes people pay more attention or a derivative of a new year’s…

Outlook for the Second Half of 2018

June 26, 2018 11:33 am

It shouldn’t be surprising that US stock indices were relatively flat the first half of the year. After all, 2017 brought a stellar, unexpected gift in the form of performance returns. As the year turned over, most investors were aware that stocks can only go up for so long before one of two things happen: […]

The Stock Market’s Balancing Act

March 26, 2018 11:32 am

Investing is a delicate balancing act, weighing the good news against the bad. Fortunately, for most of the last year and a half, we didn’t hear a lot of really damaging news. Unfortunately, that has changed recently and escalated this past week.  Investors usually can handle one challenge fairly effectively, but when the pace of […]