COVID-19 is Advancing Greater Interest in ESG Investing

July 20, 2020 9:26 am

If you are a supporter of ESG investing (combining traditional investing with environmental, social and governance related issues), then COVID-19 may have a silver lining for you. ESG investing has been playing an outsized role in investment decisions since the beginning of the year. The virus has exposed the critical need for companies to beef […]

Who is Right-The Markets or the Economic Data?

May 26, 2020 11:08 am

So what gives with the markets? Let’s use the S&P 500. It was down 33.9% from its 2020 high on February 19th to its low on March 23rd (shortest bear market on record).  It then rebounded 31.9% until April 29th (a dizzying bounce) and has remained essentially flat ever since. Unfortunately, the S&P 500 is […]

What Could a Market Recovery Look Like?

April 13, 2020 9:28 am

In hindsight, it appears surprisingly easy to shut down an economy – we just did it in a few short weeks.  I suspect it is much harder to open an economy back up again. What inspired so many Americans to shelter in place was a combination of worry for their own personal health and an […]

The CARES ACT – Three Important Provisions That Could Impact You

March 30, 2020 9:58 am

The relief bill known as the CARES Act was signed into law on Friday, March 27, 2020. It is designed to serve as a bridge between the time the US economy decelerates in response to Covid-19 and the time the economy is back up and running. Provisions of the CARES Act support a wide range […]

Can a Recession Save us from the Coronavirus?

March 16, 2020 12:28 pm

The first change I noticed was early last week, before any state of emergency had been declared in Rhode Island, Massachusetts, or the US. Suddenly, my commute was far easier than usual. I hit every light and breezed into work. By the end of the week I had shaved 20% off my commute time.  I […]

Economic Commentary: March 2, 2020

March 2, 2020 12:38 pm

The recent downturn in the markets has been driven predominantly by the Coronavirus and high stock valuations. Any sustained market bounce is unlikely to take place before the risks presented by Covid-19 have abated. At the same time the economic impact of the virus is undergoing extensive assessment and review. In terms of the economy, […]

Are We Concerned Yet?

February 26, 2020 12:36 pm

We are getting a few questions from clients on the nature of the most recent stock market sell-off. We thought it would be a good opportunity to address these questions in our blog, so that all clients can hear our response. Let’s start with the surprise factor. Was this week’s dramatic two-day pullback unanticipated? Not […]

Outlook 2020: The Pause Effect

January 3, 2020 9:16 am

Our 2020 Market Commentary was written before the killing of Iranian Maj. Gen. Qassim Suleimani. The military action does not change our outlook but does confirm the importance of geopolitical risk in our analysis. Financial Outlook 2020 Analysts generally agree that 2020 will be a decent year for the United States economy, with a possible […]

The Unpredictable Nature of Investor Psychology

October 28, 2019 9:54 am

One of the standard topics at our meetings with clients is our market outlook. Recently I have noticed that clients are more attentive than usual to what we say. I attribute this to all the noisy headlines that do more to confuse than clarify where the economy is headed.  Clients are feeling they have a […]

Destination Homes: Home Sales Have Gone the Way of the Wedding

July 29, 2019 12:24 pm

I found myself ranting in front of a client the other day (something I rarely do.). It was about the real estate market. Not how well (or poorly) the housing market was performing, but rather the toll the selling process was taking on my clients.  My complaint: selling homes has gone the way of the […]