The first change I noticed was early last week, before any state of emergency had been declared in Rhode Island, Massachusetts, or the US. Suddenly, my commute was far easier than usual. I hit every light and breezed into work. By the end of the week I had shaved 20% off my commute time. I […]
The recent downturn in the markets has been driven predominantly by the Coronavirus and high stock valuations. Any sustained market bounce is unlikely to take place before the risks presented by Covid-19 have abated. At the same time the economic impact of the virus is undergoing extensive assessment and review. In terms of the economy, […]
We are getting a few questions from clients on the nature of the most recent stock market sell-off. We thought it would be a good opportunity to address these questions in our blog, so that all clients can hear our response. Let’s start with the surprise factor. Was this week’s dramatic two-day pullback unanticipated? Not […]
For the last few weeks, it feels like the stock market has been responding positively and negatively to every new piece of information around the coronavirus. This article is not meant to diminish the impact this disease has on human life, but rather focus on why the market seems to care so much. Why does […]
Our 2020 Market Commentary was written before the killing of Iranian Maj. Gen. Qassim Suleimani. The military action does not change our outlook but does confirm the importance of geopolitical risk in our analysis. Financial Outlook 2020 Analysts generally agree that 2020 will be a decent year for the United States economy, with a possible […]
One of the standard topics at our meetings with clients is our market outlook. Recently I have noticed that clients are more attentive than usual to what we say. I attribute this to all the noisy headlines that do more to confuse than clarify where the economy is headed. Clients are feeling they have a […]
The last time we owned a dedicated position of gold in our portfolios was early 2013. Over the last six and a half years gold prices have generally disappointed, with the exception being the last few months. However, the outlook for the commodity may continue to brighten, at least according to the research we have […]
We have been sitting tight on our portfolio asset allocation since the beginning of the trade war escalation this month. Does this mean we aren’t worried? For now, the answer is, “Yes, unless.” The outlook for US/China trade relations is unsettled. The US could be at the beginning of a long drawn out trade war, […]
“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it” -George Santayana, Famed philosopher and poet Last Friday President Trump announced he would hike tariffs on another $200 Billion of Chinese goods. For months, the stock market seems to rally and then selloff based on anonymous sources talking about the progress of finding a […]
We thought we would bring you up to date on our outlook for the markets. While December unnerved many investors, the first quarter of 2019 brought renewed confidence. Q1 S&P 500 performance was the best in over 20 years. What happens next? Where we are not worried: The markets dramatically oversold in December and then […]
