Financial Market Update
Welcome to the StrategicPoint Financial Market Update — a market and economic overview of what occurred last week and what’s up for this week. Please find our market commentary and most recent Blog posts in our StrategicPoint of View®.
Corporate earnings season entered its second week with generally favorable results, which likely drove equities last week. Each of the benchmark indexes listed here posted weekly gains, led by the Dow and Nasdaq, which continues to post strong early-year gains in the technology sector. Apparently, the threat (and eventual occurrence) of a federal government shutdown didn’t curb investor enthusiasm. On the other hand, the government shutdown probably did impact long-term bond prices as the yield on 10-year Treasuries climbed 11 basis points (as prices fall, yields rise), while the U.S. dollar also dropped.
The price of crude oil (WTI) fell to $63.57 per barrel last Friday, down from the prior week’s closing price of $64.40 per barrel. The price of gold (COMEX) also declined last week to $1,331.10 by early Friday evening, down from the prior week’s price of $1,338.30. The national average retail regular gasoline price increased for the fourth week in a row to $2.557 per gallon on January 15, 2018, $0.035 above the prior week’s price and $0.199 more than a year ago.
S&P 500: 2810 (up 1.57% for the week and up 4.21% for the year)
NASDAQ: 7336 (up 1.74% for the week and up 5.18% for the year)
Dow: 26071 (up 2.01% for the week and up 4.39% for the year)
US Treasury 10yr: 2.65% (from 2.54% last week)
Crude Oil (February): $63.37 (from $64.30 last week)
Gold (February): $1,333.10 (from $1,334.90 last week)
USD/Euro: $1.222 (from $1.2264 last week)
Last Week’s Headlines
- According to the Federal Reserve’s Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization report, industrial production rose 0.9% in December, even though manufacturing output edged up a modest 0.1%. For the fourth quarter as a whole, total industrial production jumped at an annual rate of 8.2%, after being held down in the third quarter by hurricanes Harvey and Irma. The gain in manufacturing output in December was the fourth consecutive monthly increase. Overall, the increase in industrial production was largely driven by the output of utilities, which advanced 5.6% for the month. Mining moved up 1.6%. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector was 77.9%, a rate that is 2.0 percentage points below its long-run average.
- New residential construction slowed in December. According to the latest Census Bureau report, applications for building permits fell 0.1% below November’s rate, while new housing starts dropped 8.2% from November’s revised estimate. On the plus side, housing completions in December were up 2.2% over November’s figures and are 7.4% above the December 2016 rate. A lack of inventory may have propelled home completions in order to get more new homes on the market. This focus on housing completions may have pushed new applications and starts to the back burner.
- In the week ended January 13, initial claims for unemployment insurance was 220,000, a decrease of 41,000 from the previous week’s level. The advance insured unemployment rate rose 0.1 percentage point to 1.4%. The advance number of those receiving unemployment insurance benefits during the week ended January 6 was 1,952,000, an increase of 76,000 from the prior week’s level, which was revised up by 7,000.
The first report on the fourth-quarter gross domestic product is out this week. Economic growth exceeded 3.0% in the third quarter and is expected to remain about the same for the last quarter of 2017. Also, reports on the housing sector for December are available this week.
StrategicPoint in the Media
Visit the StrategicPoint Blog
*Past performance is not indicative of future results. Indices are unmanaged and you cannot directly invest in them. The Nasdaq Composite Index measures all NASDAQ U.S. and non-U.S. based common stocks listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. The S&P 500 index is based on the average performance of 500 industrial stocks monitored by Standard and Poor’s. The data referred to above was taken from sources believed to be reliable. StrategicPoint Investment Advisors has not verified such data and no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made by StrategicPoint Investment Advisors.
Data sources: News items are based on reports from multiple commonly available international news sources (i.e. wire services) and are independently verified when necessary with secondary sources such as government agencies, corporate press releases, or trade organizations. Market data: Based on data reported in WSJ Market Data Center (indexes); U.S. Treasury (Treasury yields); U.S. Energy Information Administration/Bloomberg.com Market Data (oil spot price, WTI Cushing, OK); www.goldprice.org (spot gold/silver); Oanda/FX Street (currency exchange rates). All information is based on sources deemed reliable, but no warranty or guarantee is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed herein constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities, and should not be relied on as financial advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal, and there can be no guarantee that any investing strategy will be successful.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a price-weighted index composed of 30 widely traded blue-chip U.S. common stocks. The S&P 500 is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-value weighted index of all common stocks listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. The Russell 2000 is a market-cap weighted index composed of 2,000 U.S. small-cap common stocks. The Global Dow is an equally weighted index of 150 widely traded blue-chip common stocks worldwide. Market indices listed are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment.
The information contained in this report is not intended as investment, tax or legal advice. StrategicPoint Investment Advisors assumes no responsibility for any action or inaction resulting from the contents herein.
Parts of this report were prepared by Broadridge Investor Communication Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 2018. Part of this content contributed by Forefield, Inc.